There’s less than a month to go until November 5’s Election Day in the United States, and the stakes are incredibly high for both the Democrats and the Republicans.
The Democrats are currently in power, with Joe Biden unseating Donald Trump to win custody of the White House four years ago.
However, Trump is back with a vengeance and is taking on Biden’s Vice President Kamala Harris in this year’s race after the 81-year-old stepped aside due to concerns over his health.
There’s practically nothing to separate the pair in the US Presidential Election odds. Trump was once the outright favourite when he was up against Biden.
And, while the former president remains the ever-so-slight market leader with odds of 4/5, Harris has gained back considerable ground for the Democrats and is hot on his heels at even money.
The betting market can sometimes be a good indication of things, but just how close actually is the race to become the 47th president of the United States?
Well, the bookmakers might actually have it wrong, it seems. According to the latest polls from the American television network ABC, Harris leads by a slender 48% to 46% at the time of writing.
With such a tight margin, it could still very easily swing in either elector’s favour—especially with key states, like Pennsylvania, still on the fence.
The ‘Keystone State’, as it’s aptly known due to its location, is arguably the most important of the swing states because it has a large number of electoral college votes.
With 19 electoral votes on offer, winning Pennsylvania is crucial for candidates to win a close US election race.
But it’s not easy to say who will come out on top. Barack Obama gained the vote in 2008 and 2016 before Trump edged out Hillary Clinton in 2012 and then lost the battleground to Biden in 2020.
The polls in Pennsylvania are currently incredibly close. Harris held a gap of two percentage points back in August, but Trump has clawed it back to just 0.6% and his popularity looks on the rise.
Florida is another hugely decisive state, with 30 electoral votes. Trump has secured ‘The Sunset State’ in his two attempts to run for president, and he currently leads Harris by slightly more than 5%.
Wisconsin, which holds 16 electoral votes, elected Trump in 2016 but swung to Biden four years ago, and Harris currently holds a slender 0.6% advantage in ‘The Badger State.’
Arizona is a traditional republican stronghold, but Trump lost here in 2020. The polls have swayed between Harris and the former president last month, but Trump currently holds a 1.4% advantage.
All things considered—this is going to be a race for the White House that goes right down to the wire next month.
We’ve already stated that Trump is the favourite in the political betting, but you’d have to be brave to take on either of the two candidates at this stage of proceedings.
